Silver's Comments 
E-mail: Michael J. Silver
Check the KG location bids at:


Agricultural Market News from the CME
(updated throughout the day).


What marketing tool should you use?
Click: THE GRAIN MARKETING DECISION AID
and give us a call to discuss your situation.


I’m posting “tweets” on my Twitter account @MikeSilverSr as news, articles, research and information comes to my attention.
 
Silver's Link Table
Daily Monthly
Todays Top Reports

Weekly
Quarterly
Export Sales
Export Inspections
Crop Progress
Crop Bulletin
Market Outlook
Grain Stocks/Supply Demand

May 17, 2013

Closest

 

 

 

 

 

5- Year

 

Date

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Average

2013

4/7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4/14

2

3

10

5

16

7

2

4/21

5

10

32

8

26

16

4

4/28

12

25

58

11

49

31

5

5/5

30

37

74

28

68

47

12

5/12

54

52

84

53

85

66

28

5/19

75

68

90

72

95

80

 

5/26

89

85

95

83

100

90

 

6/2

 

94

 

90

 

 

 

6/20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 HISTORICAL US CORN PLANTING PROGRESS
END OF WEEK 19

 

 

Futures Closes 

 

5/17/2013

 

Commodity        

Symbol

Close

Change

July Corn

CN3

652 3/4

11.25

Dec Corn

CZ3

519 1/2

-4.50

July Soybeans

SN3

1448 1/2

21.00

November Soybeans

SX3

1228 1/4

10.75

 

 

 

 

July Wheat

WN3

691   

-4.50

US Dollar Index      

DX

84.36

0.63

Soybean/Corn Ratio

SX3/CZ3

2.36

0.04

Ethanol

AC

2.67

0.04

 

 

 

 

Today vs Last Friday Close

Today

Last Friday

Change

July Corn

652 3/4

636 1/4

16.50

Dec Corn

530   

529 1/2

0.50

July Soybeans

1448 1/2

1399   

49.50

November Soybeans

1228 1/4

1205 1/2

22.75

July Wheat

683 1/4

704 1/4

-21.00

 

 

 

 

 

 
 

 

CME Daily Trading Hours:
(Eastern Time)
8:00 pm - 8:45 am Sun - Fri
9:30 am - 2:15 pm M-F


Yesterday I wrote; "It would appear the trade is walking a
"price tight rope" trying to balance the price impact of
tight stocks of old crop against the prospect of large
2013 production and ending stocks increases against a
background of historically slow planting progress and
uncertain weather forecasts. Added to the fundamental
delima, it appears that "investment money" would rather
trade the equity markets than the commodity markets. 
Both bulls and bears can make valid arguments for grain
prices to move in either direction from this point forward."


Old crop corn futures closed higher today with the CN3CZ3
spread trading at $1.335 inverse (CN3 higher than CZ3.)
That spread changed 16 cents today.  Tight old crop supplies
and slow movement helped support futures today.  New crop
corn futures closed lower on what is expected to be the greatest
week-to-week increase in US corn planting progress EVER.

Soybean futures closed higher today on strength in old crop.
Again tight supplies and slow farmer movement were supportive
to futures.

Informa estimated planted US corn acres at 96.827 mil acres,
soybeans at 78.286 mil acres in their report released today.

Traders and analysts will be focused on weekend weather events
and weather forecasts as they look forward to Monday's
Crop Progress Report.


Again, I'' repeat my comments from yesterday:
"I think we have in play a perfect scenario for continued and
increased price volatility.  Here's what I'm recommending:

1. Review your market position for both old crop and new crop.
2. Take advantage of possible upward price volatility by having
    FIRM OPEN OFFERS IN PLACE to capture your price should
    that objective trade, NIGHT OR DAY.
3. Call me or your KG merchandiser to discuss strategies to
    fit your situation."


For additional market commentary, news and analysis visit
the following links:

www.Agrimoney.com
www.FarmPolicy.com
www.farmdocDAILY.illinois.edu


Also, follow me on Twitter: @MikeSilverSr

 

 

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Weather Links:
 

Report prepared by the CME Group.

CME Group Daily Grain Marketing Reports – Link Table

Report Name

Corn

Soybeans

Wheat

Pre-Opening Report

Corn – Pre-Opening

Soybeans – Pre-Opening

Wheat – Pre-Opening

Mid-Session Report

Corn – Mid Session

Soybeans – Mid Session

Wheat – Mid-Session

Daily Recap Report

Corn Daily

Soybeans Daily

Wheat Daily

 


 The information contained herein, while not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The opinions and recommendations contained are based on our judgment, and we do not guarantee that profits will be achieved.
 

 Recommendations should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell commodities. Opinions expressed in this presentation are those of Mike Silver and not necessarily those of the Kokomo Grain Co., Inc.

 
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